Monthly Archives: June 2020

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 25A

000
WTNT33 KNHC 072352
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
700 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA…
…HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE TO CONTINUE FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE…

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.6N 89.8W
ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM SSE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Watch along the coast of Louisiana from east of
Morgan City to the mouth of the Mississippi River has been
discontinued.

The Tropical Storm Warning west of Morgan City Louisiana has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For
a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 89.8 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northwest is expected later this evening and tonight, followed
by a northward motion Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Cristobal will move inland across southeastern
Louisiana through Monday morning, and northward across Arkansas and
Missouri Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening will begin overnight, and Cristobal is
forecast to weaken to a tropical depression on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center. A NOAA automated observing station on Dauphin
Island, Alabama, recently reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72
km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h), and a Weatherflow site on Ship
Island, Mississippi, observed a sustained wind of 37 mph (59 km/h)
and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 993 mb (29.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…1-3 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf coast through tonight.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across portions of the central to
eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated
amounts to 15 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with
local amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to
Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of
Cristobal. This rainfall will likely lead to flash flooding and
widespread flooding on smaller streams across portions of the
central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. New and
renewed significant river flooding is possible along the central
Gulf Coast and into the Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight across eastern
Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and northern
Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

Cristobal makes landfall

000
WTNT63 KNHC 072209
TCUAT3

Tropical Storm Cristobal Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
510 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

…CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA…

Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that the center of
Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall at 500 PM CDT (2200 UTC)
along the coast of southeast Louisiana between the mouth of the
Mississippi River and Grand Isle. Maximum sustained winds were
estimated near 50 mph (85 km/h) with a minimum central pressure of
992 mb (29.29 inches).

A Weatherflow site on Ship Island, Mississippi, has recently
observed a sustained wind of 48 mph (78 km/h) and a gust to 64 mph
(104 km/h). A Weatherflow site near Gulfport, Mississippi
recently reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a
gust to 60 mph (96 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT…2200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.3N 89.8W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM SSE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.29 INCHES

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 25

421
WTNT33 KNHC 072040
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS LASHING THE GULF COAST FROM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA…
…HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE TO CONTINUE FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE…

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.1N 89.9W
ABOUT 65 MI…100 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 89.9 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue this afternoon, followed by a gradual
turn toward the north-northwest later this evening and tonight. On
the forecast track, the center of Cristobal will approach the
northern Gulf of Mexico coast this afternoon, then move inland
across southeastern Louisiana this afternoon through Monday morning,
and northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday afternoon into
Tuesday.

Data from NOAA Doppler weather radars and offshore oil platforms
indicate that maximum sustained winds remain 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before landfall.
Gradual weakening will begin once Cristobal moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center. During the past couple of hours, an oil rig
located about 80 miles south of Mobile, Alabama, measured a
sustained wind of 51 mph (82 km/h) and a gust to 64 mph (103 km/h)
at an elevation of 123 ft. A NOAA automated observing station on
Dauphin Island, Alabama, recently reported a sustained wind of 42
mph (68 km/h) and a gust to 48 mph (77 km/h), and a Weatherflow
site on Ship Island, Mississippi, observed a sustained wind of 41
mph (66 km/h) and a gust to 51 mph (77 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 993 mb (29.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf coast through tonight.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across portions of the central to
eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated
amounts to 12 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local
amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to Upper
Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of
Cristobal. This rainfall will likely lead to flash flooding and
widespread flooding on smaller streams across portions of the
central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. New and
renewed significant river flooding is possible along the central
Gulf Coast and into the Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
eastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
northern Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 24A

WTNT33 KNHC 071751
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 24A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
100 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

...CRISTOBAL SLOWS DOWN AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF LOUISIANA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 89.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a
life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 89.9 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 5 mph (8 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue today, followed by a gradual turn toward the
north-northwest late today or tonight.  On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal will approach the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
this afternoon, then move inland across Louisiana late today through
Monday morning, and northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday
afternoon into Tuesday.

Data from NOAA Doppler weather radars and offshore oil platforms
indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before
landfall. Gradual weakening will begin once Cristobal moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km),
mainly to the east of the center. During the past few hours, an oil
rig located about 80 miles south of Mobile, Alabama, measured a
sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust to 64 mph (103 km/h)
an elevation of 53 ft. A Weatherflow site at Ship Island,
Mississippi, recently reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h)
and a gust to 59 mph (95 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne...3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf coast through tonight.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to
12 inches.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to
6 inches are expected across portions of the eastern Gulf Coast,
along with the Mid to Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains
near and in advance of Cristobal.  This rainfall will likely lead
to flash flooding and widespread flooding on smaller streams across
portions of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi
Valley.  New and renewed significant river flooding is possible
along the central Gulf Coast and into the Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
eastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
northern Florida.

SURF:  Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

Sad News – Gator Great Reche Caldwell

Former Florida receiver Donald ‘Reche” Caldwell died Saturday night when he was apparently ambushed by gunmen and shot in Tampa, according to reports. He was 41. Caldwell was a second-team, All-SEC selection in 2001 when he posted the eighth best total in UF single season history with 1,059 yards. He finished his career with 2,088 receiving yards and 18 touchdown catches, leaving school a year early to enter the draft. “I’m really still trying to process it,” said former teammate Taylor Jacobs. “He was a great guy, a great friend. It’s just so sad. My heart goes out to the family. I’m at a loss for words.” Caldwell spent six years in the NFL after being drafted by San Diego in the second round finishing with 152 catches for 1.851 yards and 11 touchdowns. He also played for the Redskins and Patriots.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 24

000
WTNT33 KNHC 071447
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

…CRISTOBAL MOVING CLOSER TO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA…
…HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE…

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…28.7N 90.0W
ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal
was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 90.0 West. Cristobal
is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today, followed by a gradual turn
toward the north-northwest late today or tonight. On the forecast
track, the center of Cristobal will approach the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast this afternoon, then move inland across Louisiana late
today through Monday morning, and northward across Arkansas and
Missouri Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and NOAA
Doppler weather radars indicate that maximum sustained winds remain
near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength
is forecast before landfall. Gradual weakening will begin once
Cristobal moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km),
mainly to the east of the center. A Weatherflow site at Bayou
Bienvenue, Louisiana, recently measured a sustained wind of 37 mph
(60 km/h) and a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf coast through tonight.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to
12 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to
6 inches are expected across portions of the eastern Gulf Coast,
along with the Mid to Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains
near and in advance of Cristobal. This rainfall will likely lead
to flash flooding and widespread flooding on smaller streams across
portions of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi
Valley. New and renewed significant river flooding is possible
along the central Gulf Coast and into the Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
eastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
northern Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 23A

000
WTNT33 KNHC 071151
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
700 AM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

…SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS PASSING OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA…
…CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…28.2N 89.9W
ABOUT 70 MI…110 KM S OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 75 MI…125 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.35 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near
latitude 28.2 North, longitude 89.9 West. Cristobal is moving toward
the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected
to continue today, followed by a gradual turn toward the
north-northwest late today or tonight. On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal will approach the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
this afternoon, then move inland across Louisiana late today through
Monday morning, and northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday
afternoon into Tuesday.

Data from NOAA Doppler weather radars indicate that maximum
sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast before landfall, and weakening
will begin once Cristobal moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
mainly to the east of he center. A National Ocean Service station
at the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River recently reported a
sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust to 51 mph (82 km/h) at
an elevation of 78 feet (24 m).

The minimum central pressure recently measured by the
reconnaissance aircraft was 994 mb (29.35 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf coast today and tonight.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to
12 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to
6 inches are expected across portions of the eastern Gulf Coast,
along with the Mid to Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains
near and in advance of Cristobal. This rainfall may lead to flash
flooding and widespread flooding on smaller streams across portions
of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. New and
renewed significant river flooding is possible along the central
Gulf Coast and into the Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
eastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
northern Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 21A

WTNT33 KNHC 062347
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

…OUTER RAINBANDS OF CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
GULF COAST…

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…25.7N 90.2W
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 90.2 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a
gradual turn toward the north-northwest. On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal will move northward over the central Gulf of
Mexico tonight, and will be near the northern Gulf of Mexico
coast on Sunday. Cristobal’s center is then forecast to move
inland across Louisiana late Sunday through Monday morning, and
northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday afternoon into
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast until landfall occurs on
the northern Gulf coast. Weakening will begin once Cristobal moves
inland late Sunday and Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air
Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunters, and surface observations is 993
mb (29.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning late
tonight or Sunday morning.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the eastern and central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 12
inches. Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the
central Gulf Coast. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local
amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.
This rainfall may lead to flash flooding and widespread flooding on
smaller streams across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible this afternoon and
evening across west central Florida, and early Sunday morning along
the north central and northeast Gulf coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 21

WTNT33 KNHC 062045
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
400 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

…WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST TONIGHT…

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…25.2N 90.2W
ABOUT 280 MI…445 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 25.2 North, longitude 90.2 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a
gradual turn toward the north-northwest. On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal will move northward over the central Gulf of
Mexico today and tonight, and will be near the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast on Sunday. Cristobal’s center is then forecast to move
inland across Louisiana late Sunday through Monday morning, and
northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday afternoon into
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast until landfall occurs on
the northern Gulf coast. Weakening will begin once Cristobal moves
inland late Sunday and Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air
Force Hurricane Hunters is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning late
tonight or Sunday morning.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the eastern and central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 12
inches. Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the
central Gulf Coast. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local
amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.
This rainfall may lead to flash flooding and widespread flooding on
smaller streams across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible this afternoon and
evening across west central Florida, and early Sunday morning along
the north central and northeast Gulf coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

T.S. Cristobal Advisory 20A

000
WTNT33 KNHC 061731
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020
100 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

…WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD DETERIORATE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TONIGHT…

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…24.7N 90.2W
ABOUT 310 MI…500 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 90.2 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a
gradual turn toward the north-northwest. On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal will move northward over the central Gulf of
Mexico today and tonight, and will be near the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast on Sunday. Cristobal’s center is then forecast to move
inland across Louisiana late Sunday through Monday morning, and
northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday afternoon into
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast until landfall occurs on
the northern Gulf coast. Weakening will begin once Cristobal moves
inland late Sunday and Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft observations is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne…3-5 ft
Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River…2-4 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola
Bay, and Tampa Bay…1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning late
tonight or Sunday morning.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the eastern and central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 12
inches. Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the
central Gulf Coast. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local
amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the Mid-Mississippi Valley.
This rainfall may lead to flash flooding and widespread flooding on
smaller streams across the Lower to Mid-Mississippi Valley.

Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan, bringing isolated storm
totals to 25 inches. This will continue the threat of
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur on Sunday across southern
Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southwest Alabama and the western
Florida Panhandle.

SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next few days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.