Monthly Archives: October 2020

Hurricane Zeta Advisory #9

BULLETIN
Hurricane Zeta Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020

...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM 
SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF 
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 86.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, 
to Navarre, Florida, including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, 
Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay. 

A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the
Mississippi/Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake
Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama
border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida, and from west
of Morgan City to Intracoastal City.

The government of Cuba has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning
for Pinar del Rio.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tulum to Dzilam Mexico
* Cozumel

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South of Tulum to Punta Allen Mexico
* West of Dzilam to Progreso Mexico

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to Navarre Florida
* Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and 
Mobile Bay 

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 12 to 24 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Zeta was located
near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 86.0 West.  Zeta is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A northwestward motion
with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or
so, followed by a turn toward the north Tuesday night. A faster
northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on Wednesday. On
the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over the northern
Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move over the southern
Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf Coast in 
the watch area on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible before Zeta makes
landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.  Some weakening is likely while
Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight and early
Tuesday.  Zeta is forecast to strengthen again when it moves over
the southern Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday and be at or near 
hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on 
Wednesday. 

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where
the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause 
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters 
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the 
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if 
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL including Lake Borgne...4-6 
ft
Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA including Vermilion 
Bay...2-4 ft
Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL including Mobile Bay and Pensacola 
Bay...2-4 ft    
Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft
Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL including Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint 
Andrew Bay...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves.  Surge-related flooding 
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, 
and can vary greatly over short distances.  For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12
inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of
Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman
Islands, and central to western Cuba.

An initial area of heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf
Coast Tuesday night, spreading north into the Tennessee Valley on
Wednesday. The core of the heavy rains associated with Zeta will
push northeast from eastern Louisiana across southern Mississippi,
Alabama and northern Georgia through Wednesday night, and through 
the southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday.  
Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches 
are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small
stream, and minor river flooding.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane 
Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula this evening.  Tropical storm 
conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in 
Mexico this evening.  

Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area on 
the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday, and tropical storm 
conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area on the 
northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday. 

Zeta now a Hurricane

Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
210 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND ZETA HAS STRENGTHENED 
TO A HURRICANE...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate 
that Zeta has become a hurricane, with maximum sustained winds near 
80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. 


SUMMARY OF 210 PM CDT...1910 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 85.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

Tropical Storm Zeta. Advisory # 8

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 85.3W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tulum to Dzilam Mexico
* Cozumel

 A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba
* South of Tulum to Punta Allen
* West of Dzilam to Progreso

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- 
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or 
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be 
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf
Coast later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 85.3 West.  Zeta is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A northwestward
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the
next day or so, followed by a turn toward the north Tuesday night.
A faster northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on
Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move near
or over the northern Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move
over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the
northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and Zeta is expected to become
a hurricane later today.  Some weakening is likely while Zeta
moves over the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and early Tuesday.  Zeta
is forecast to strengthen again while it moves over the southern
Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone 
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12
inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of
Zeta's track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman
Islands, and central to western Cuba.

Heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf Coast Tuesday
night, spreading inland across eastern Mississippi, Alabama,
northern Georgia during Wednesday, through the southern Appalachians
Wednesday night and into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday.  Rainfall
totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are
expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small
stream, and minor river flooding.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late today.  Tropical
storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning
area in Mexico by late today.  Tropical storm conditions could occur
in the warning area in western Cuba beginning later today.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where
the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical Storm Zeta. Advisory # 7A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020

...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 84.8W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tulum to Dzilam Mexico
* Cozumel

 A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba
* South of Tulum to Punta Allen
* West of Dzilam to Progreso

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf
coast later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 18.9
North, longitude 84.8 West.  Zeta is moving toward the northwest
near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A northwestward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected over the next day or so, followed by a
turn toward the north Tuesday night.  A faster northward to
north-northeastward motion is forecast on Wednesday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Zeta will move near or over the
northern Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move over the
southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf
Coast on Wednesday.

Observations from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that
maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and Zeta is expected to become a
hurricane later this morning.  Additional strengthening is expected
before Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Zeta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of
12 inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of
Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman
Islands, and central to western Cuba.

Between Tuesday night and Thursday, storm total rainfall of 2 to 4
inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches is expected across portions
of the central U.S. Gulf Coast, Tennessee Valley, southern
Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta.
The expected rainfall could lead to flash, urban, and small stream
flooding, along with minor river flooding.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late today.  Tropical
storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning
area in Mexico by late today.  Tropical storm conditions could occur
in the warning area in western Cuba beginning later today.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 1-3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where
the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.

🏈 10/25 Coaches Poll 🏈

Coaches Poll
The Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports


Rank Team Record PTS 1st Prev Chg Hi/Lo
1 Clemson 6-0 1540 52 1 — 1/1
2 Alabama 5-0 1493 8 2 — 2/3
3 Ohio State 1-0 1374 2 5 2 2/10
4 Notre Dame 5-0 1368 0 3 -1 3/10
5 Georgia 3-1 1293 0 4 -1 3/5
6 Oklahoma State 4-0 1209 0 6 — 6/19
7 Cincinnati 4-0 1058 0 10 3 7/22
8 Texas A&M 3-1 1055 0 9 1 8/20
9 Florida 2-1 1010 0 8 -1 3/9
10 Brigham Young 6-0 941 0 11 1 10/23
11 Wisconsin 1-0 928 0 14 3 11/18
12 Miami 5-1 911 0 11 -1 7/NR
13 North Carolina 4-1 796 0 13 — 6/19
14 Michigan 1-0 789 0 17 3 14/21
15 Oregon 0-0 674 0 15 — 9/17

Tropical Storm Zeta. Advisory # 5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
500 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

...ZETA STRONGER...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT NEARS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 83.4W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the
Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel

 A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 83.4 West.  Zeta has 
been meandering or nearly stationary, but a generally northwestward
motion is expected over the next couple of days.  On the forecast
track, the center of Zeta will pass south of western Cuba early
Monday and move near or over the northern Yucatan Peninsula or the
Yucatan Channel late Monday, move into the southern Gulf of Mexico
on Tuesday, and reach the central Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that 
the maximum sustained winds have increased near 50 mph (85 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 
hours, and Zeta is expected to become a hurricane before it moves 
near or over the Yucatan Peninsula late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft observations is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Zeta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header
WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12
inches are possible through Wednesday along and east-northeast of
Zetas track from Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, central to western
Cuba,  and the northeast Yucatan peninsula of Mexico.  Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with local amounts of 5 inches
possible across Southern Florida and the Keys over the next 2 days,
with isolated storm totals of 8 inches.

By Wednesday, heavy rainfall associated with Zeta will begin to
affect the central Gulf Coast region, which may lead to flash
flooding in urban areas.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late Monday.  Tropical
storm conditions could occur in the warning area in Western Cuba on
Monday.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 1-3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where
the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical Storm Zeta. Advisory # 4A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TOMORROW...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 84.0W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel

 A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 84.0 West.  Zeta is
meandering or nearly stationary, but a generally northwestward
motion is expected over the next couple of days.  On the forecast
track, the center of Zeta will pass south of western Cuba early
Monday and move near or over the northern Yucatan Peninsula or the
Yucatan Channel late Monday, move into the southern Gulf of Mexico
on Tuesday, and reach the central Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Zeta
could become a hurricane by the time it moves near or over the
Yucatan Peninsula late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Zeta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header
WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12
inches are possible through Wednesday along and east-northeast of
Zetas track from Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, central to western
Cuba,  and the northeast Yucatan peninsula of Mexico.  Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with local amounts of 5 inches are
possible across southern Florida and the Keys over the next 2 days,
with isolated storm totals of 8 inches.

By Wednesday, heavy rainfall associated with Zeta will begin to
affect the central Gulf Coast region, which may lead to flash
flooding in urban areas.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch
area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late Monday.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area in the Yucatan
peninsula late Monday, and could occur in the warning area in
Western Cuba on Monday.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 1-3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Hurricane Watch area near and to the north of where
the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical Storm Zeta. Advisory # 3A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 83.8W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 MPH...0 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel

 A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.8
North, longitude 83.8 West.  Zeta is nearly stationary, but a slow
generally northwestward motion is expected later today.  A turn
toward the west-northwest and an increase in forward speed are
forecast by Monday, followed by a faster northwestward motion on
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will pass south
of western Cuba early Monday and move near or over the northern
Yucatan Peninsula or the Yucatan Channel late Monday, move into the
southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and reach the central Gulf of
Mexico by late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 to 72
hours, and Zeta is forecast to become a hurricane by late Monday or
early Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km),
mainly southeast of the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunters is
1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Zeta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header
WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL:  Heavy rainfall bands will be expansive along and
east-northeast of Zetas track.  Across portions of central and
western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan
peninsula of Mexico, Southern Florida and the Keys, storm total
rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are
possible through Wednesday.

By Wednesday, heavy rainfall associated with Zeta will begin to
affect the central Gulf Coast region, which may lead to flash
flooding in urban areas.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch
area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late Monday.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area in Cuba by Monday
morning.

Trop. Depression # 28. Advisory #1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020

...2020 PRODUCES YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF WESTERN CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 83.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
province of Pinar del Rio.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of 
the depression.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Eight was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 83.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 
mph (4 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early
Sunday.  The system should gradually turn toward the west-northwest 
with a faster forward speed by Monday.  On the forecast track, the 
center of the depression is anticipated to remain south of Cuba 
tomorrow and approach the Yucatan Channel or Yucatan Peninsula late 
Monday before emerging into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the 
system is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday and could 
become a hurricane over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane 
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. 

RAINFALL: Across portions of central and western Cuba, the Cayman
Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico,
southern Florida and the Florida Keys, storm total rainfall of 4 
to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through 
Wednesday. 

WIND: Tropical-storm conditions are possible in the watch area
on Monday.