Hurricane Season Prediction

Above-average activity predicted for 2022 hurricane season
    A forecast team from Colorado State University has predicted an above-average level of activity in the Atlantic basin this hurricane season. The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project says there will be an average of 19 named storms, with nine of those storms developing into hurricanes in the Atlantic this season, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
The team predicts:
  • A 71 percent chance at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2022 (the long-term average probability is 52 percent)
  • A 47 percent chance a major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula (the long-term average is 31 percent)
  • A 46 percent chance a major hurricane will make landfall on the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville (the long-term average is 30 percent).
   The team predicts 2022 hurricane activity will be about 135 percent of the average season. The 2021 hurricane season had eight landfalling continental U.S. hurricanes, including Hurricane Ida, a Category 4 storm that devastated the central Gulf Coast on the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina.
    Residents are reminded to take the proper precautions and to remember that it takes only one landfall event nearby to make this an active season.

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