Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon May 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop 
near the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in 
a few days, partially related to the remnants of Hurricane Agatha 
from the eastern Pacific. This system is forecast to move slowly 
eastward or northeastward and gradual development is possible 
by the latter part of this week.  Regardless of development, 
locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southern 
Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize through 
the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.